in addition to while the letter states that will that will “does not constitute a formal announcement,” the reality is usually that will Trump’s administration has unfolded much like his campaign — an unbroken assault on the institutional norms in addition to niceties that will have governed government for the better part of a century.
Trump’s is usually a permanent campaign in addition to the first 50 days of his time within the White House have revealed much of the man, while changing almost nothing. right now, at This kind of halfway point to the end of that will more traditional measuring stick, here are seven story lines that will defined the first nine weeks — in addition to seem likely to guide the next.
Trump on Twitter
By its nature, in addition to perhaps to a fault, modern political reporting thrives on narrative. We want to know what is usually happening, why that will’s happening in addition to who is usually generating that will happen. In only 50 days, the brand new administration has laid waste to that will familiar ecosystem. having a few taps of his phone, Trump can reset the news landscape in addition to upend an unflattering cycle.
nevertheless that will cuts both ways.
Trump has shown himself to be equally willing to lash out in spite of his own best interests. When he woke up on Saturday morning in addition to accused his predecessor of tapping the phones at Trump Tower during the campaign, the allegation — made without evidence — swallowed any messaging the White House might have planned ahead of This kind of week’s Obamacare replacement push.
that will wasn’t initially.
Trump has attacked the news media, calling that will “the enemy of the American People!” He has assailed the intelligence community, tweeting that will, when that will comes to Russia, “The real scandal here is usually that will classified information is usually illegally given out by ‘intelligence’ like candy. Very un-American!”
When his travel ban was halted by a federal judge, Trump tweeted, “If something happens blame him in addition to court system.”
“Any negative polls are fake news,” he added the next day, “just like the sy88pgw, ABC, NBC polls within the election.”
The rogue tweeting has been the one constant since Trump’s swearing in, beginning just a few days into his administration when he pledged, on social media, to ask “for a major investigation into VOTER FRAUD, including those registered to vote in two states, those who are illegal in addition to … even, those registered to vote who are dead (in addition to many for a long time).”
There have been no credible reports of voter fraud. Then or right now. in addition to while some could argue that will Trump’s tweets are meant to distract, the first 50 days suggest his use is usually more impulsive than strategic.
The Russia question
that will’s simple, truly: Who knew what, when, in addition to when will we know what the what is usually?
The Trump campaign’s alleged ties to Russia have opened up a rabbit hole that will threatens to derail the administration’s core agenda in addition to sow distrust in an already tense White House.
After he failed to disclose past meetings with the Russian ambassador to the US during his Senate confirmation hearings, Attorney General Jeff Sessions last week recused himself coming from any future (or existing) investigations related to the campaign in addition to Moscow. nevertheless even after weeks of revelations in addition to accusations, the real show has yet to begin.
On March 20, the House Intelligence Committee will host its first public hearings on Russia’s meddling within the 2016 election. The star witnesses include, FBI Director James Comey, National Security Agency Director Mike Rogers, former CIA Director John Brennan, former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper in addition to former acting Attorney General Sally Yates, who was fired by Trump after refusing to back his travel ban in court.
Of all the criticism in addition to accusations directed his way, nothing riles Trump like the suggestion that will Moscow tipped the scales for him. His most virulent attacks on the media, the intelligence community in addition to, most recently, former President Barack Obama, have almost all stemmed coming from anger over reports tied to the Russia question.
So when the committee convenes 10 days coming from right now, you can be sure that will Trump will be watching in addition to, if past behavior is usually any indication, weighing in on the conversation.
Obamacare, taxes in addition to the art of the deal
As a candidate, Trump sold himself as a deal-maker.
The next few weeks will give him a chance to prove that will. First up, the ongoing negotiations to repeal in addition to replace Obamacare. In a sense, This kind of should be one of his easier tasks. Democrats, the minority party in both chambers of Congress, have little say within the matter.
nevertheless the Republican majority is usually a fractured, fractious in addition to motley crew. Conservatives within the House in addition to some allies within the Senate want “full repeal” in addition to have threatened to vote against anything less. Then you have moderates, including a group of four GOP senators, who warned the White House in a letter to Majority Leader Mitch McConnell that will cuts to Medicaid expansion could be a dealbeaker on their end.
Trump has stayed positive, using Twitter not to attack nevertheless prod in addition to massage critics like Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul. nevertheless there is usually a long road ahead. On Thursday night, two senior administration officials in addition to a senior House conservative aide told sy88pgw that will the White House was open to moving up a proposed Medicaid rollback. Doing so might allow the bill to survive the House, nevertheless could harden opposition within the Senate.
The clock is usually ticking. If Trump is usually going to overhaul Obamacare in addition to pass tax reform, he needs to solve This kind of legislative Rubik’s cube first. in addition to he knows that will.
“I can’t do (taxes) until we do health care, because we have to know what the health care is usually going to cost in addition to — statutorily — that will’s the way that will is usually,” he said last month. “So for those people who say, ‘oh, gee, I wish we could do the tax first,’ that will just doesn’t work that will way. I could like to do the tax first.”
Bottom line: If Obamacare repeal-plus isn’t done in addition to dusted 50 days coming from right now, the odds that will Trump can deliver on his top policy pledges will be severely, perhaps irrecoverably, diminished.
Jobs? Jobs! Jobs.
Trump celebrated his 50th day by touting positive economic news.
The US economy, according to the Labor Department, added 235,000 jobs in his first full month in office. The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.7% coming from 4.8%. Trump retweeted the Drudge Report headline: “Great again.”
nevertheless as Trump knows as well as anyone, the stats aren’t always an accurate reflection of how people — especially those in communities trailing or left behind by the broader economic upswing — feel about their own prospects.
Asked on Friday whether Trump believed the brand new numbers were accurate, in addition to not misleading or outright lies as he claimed during the campaign, White House press secretary Sean Spicer said the topic had come up before earlier in addition to Trump “said to quote him very clearly: ‘They may have been phony within the past, nevertheless that will’s very real right now.’ ”
Spicer laughed, in addition to why wouldn’t he? As the honeymoon (at least among Trump’s supporters) winds down, the President emerges with the wind at his back. Whether he can sustain those Great feelings may be the administration’s most trying test.
Palace intrigue thickens
No White House, especially a brand new one, is usually immune to turf wars in addition to internal conflict. nevertheless the Trump administration can on certain afternoons resemble a daytime soap opera.
Consider the Michael Flynn saga. On February 13, top aide Kellyanne Conway said during an MSNBC interview that will the right now-former national security adviser enjoyed the “full confidence of the president.” nevertheless, only hours later, Spicer offered a different outlook, telling reporters that will Trump was “evaluating the situation.”
Flynn’s role at the White House wouldn’t survive the day.
How Trump's first 50 days will define the next