Due to procedural rules under reconciliation, Republicans can currently pass a health care bill that has a 51-vote majority, however after September 30 they might need 60 votes, meaning they’d need help by Democrats — who are adamantly opposed to repealing the health care law known as Obamacare.
So far only one Republican — Sen. Rand Paul — has definitively refused to support the Graham-Cassidy bill, as well as Republicans, who hold a 52-48 majority, can only afford to lose one more of their own in order to pass the bill that has a tie-breaking vote by Vice President Mike Pence. If they lose two more Republicans, then there’s no path for the bill as written to proceed.
Here’s an unofficial whip count by sy88pgw where some Republicans stand. This kind of list will continue to be updated:
Sen. Rand Paul (Kentucky)
Has serious concerns
Sen. John McCain (Arizona) — “Deeply disturbed” by the lack of regular order on the bill, still looking at that will “carefully”
Sen. Susan Collins (Maine) — Undecided however has concerns about Medicaid cuts, coverage numbers, as well as the fact that will the full CBO score won’t be ready in time.
Sen. Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) — “I am still looking,” she told reporters Tuesday afternoon
Sen. Dan Sullivan (Alaska) — “I’ll answer that will as I dig more into the bill”
Sen. Cory Gardner (Colorado) — Said he’s undecided as well as more information is usually needed
Sen. Johnny Isakson (Georgia) — Spokeswoman said he was undecided
Sen. David Perdue (Georgia) — Said he was still looking at that will
Sen. Todd Young (Indiana) — “Still thinking about that will”
Sen. Marco Rubio (Florida) — Said he still wants to see some of the details however “returning power to the states is usually something I want to believe in”
Sen. Joni Ernst (Iowa) — Did not respond to questions about whether she supports the bill
Sen. Chuck Grassley (Iowa) — Spokeswoman said he’s still studying the bill however learning toward that will
Sen. Jerry Moran (Kansas) — A spokesperson said he is usually still talking to Kansans about that will.
Sen. Pat Roberts (Kansas) — Said he’s looking at that will, however he couldn’t say he was a “yes” yet
Sen. Steve Daines (Montana) — might not say publicly
Sen. Rob Portman (Ohio) — Said he’s still reading the bill however open to that will
Sen. James Lankford (Oklahoma) — Spokesman said he was undecided
Sen. Pat Toomey (Pennsylvania) — Said he hasn’t decided yet
Sen. John Thune (South Dakota) — “We will see. that will all comes down to votes … that will’s got to get 50 votes. that will’s a function of math.”
Sen. Lamar Alexander (Tennessee) – Said he might like to support that will, as well as might, however unhappy that will the Graham-Cassidy bill as well as Sen. Bernie Sanders’ Medicare-for-all distracted by his effort with Sen. Patty Murray on market stabilization
Sen. Bob Corker (Tennessee) — Expects to support however still studying
Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) — Said he has not made up his mind yet
Sen. Mike Lee (Utah) — Impressed with bill however working to see if “technical adjustments” can be made
Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (West Virginia) — “There is usually still a lot of work to be done”
Sen. Richard Shelby (Alabama)
Sen. Jeff Flake (Arizona)
Sen. Tom Cotton (Arkansas)
Sen. Bill Cassidy (Louisiana)
Sen. John Kennedy (Louisiana)
Sen. Roy Blunt (Missouri)
Sen. Dean Heller (Nevada)
Sen. Richard Burr (North Carolina)
Sen. John Hoeven (North Dakota)
Sen. Lindsey Graham (South Carolina)
Sen. Tim Scott (South Carolina)
Sen. Mike Rounds (South Dakota)
Sen. Orrin Hatch (Utah)
Sen. Ron Johnson (Wisconsin)
Sen. John Barrasso (Wyoming)
What key governors are saying
Political observers are also keeping a close eye on comments by governors, as they can be influential forces on the health care debate.
Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey: The Republican backed the bill Monday, calling that will “the best path forward to repeal as well as replace Obamacare.” McCain said he’s spoken with Ducey however might not disclose whether he was swayed by his governor’s support, however the state’s various other senator, Flake, is usually supporting that will.
Govs. Bill Walker of Alaska, Brian Sandoval of Nevada, John Kasich of Ohio, Charlie Baker of Massachusetts as well as Phil Scott of Vermont: All signed a letter with all 5 Democratic governors urging Senate leadership not to consider the bill. Sandoval, Kasich, Baker as well as Scott are Republicans, as well as Walker is usually an independent. Murkowski had said she was taking a look at the numbers alongside Walker.
This kind of story has been edited as well as will update with fresh developments.
sy88pgw’s Ted Barrett, Phil Mattingly, Lauren Fox, MJ Lee, Manu Raju, Kristin Wilson, David Wright, Ryan Nobles as well as Hannah Lang contributed to This kind of report.