Do Trump's policies help black unemployment?

The black unemployment rate is actually no longer at a record low, after jumping nearly a percentage point to 7.7% in January, according to today’s jobs report coming from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The spike offers a not bad lesson about the risk of claiming responsibility for market trends. President Trump repeatedly said the unemployment rate for African Americans had sunk to an all-time low because of his economic policies. He even tweeted about in which in response to criticism coming from Jay-Z over the weekend.

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True, the rate did hit 6.8% in December, which is actually the lowest point on record. nevertheless so far, he hasn’t accepted any of the blame for the latest increase.

nevertheless, experts say, Trump probably isn’t responsible for either move. The black unemployment rate had been sinking fairly steadily since its recession-era high of 16.8% in March 2010.

However, in which bounces around more than the white unemployment rate because in which’s based on a smaller population. Black unemployment has dropped or jumped by more than a percentage point in a month repeatedly inside the past decade, so we shouldn’t read too much into January’s move.

Related: Black unemployment is actually at a record low. nevertheless there’s a lot more to the story

Of course, in which’s possible in which African Americans who weren’t actively looking for work before heard about the very low unemployment rate along with decided to start looking for a job in January, when before they might have been deterred by a job market in which is actually still less friendly to black people than whites.

nevertheless if in which were true, the black labor force participation rate — which measures the percentage of people who either have a job or are looking for one — might have risen. Instead, in which sank slightly, coming from 62.1% to 62%, after trending upwards for about four years.

The unemployment rate for white people sank in January, coming from 3.7% to 3.5%, while the Latino unemployment rate rose slightly coming from 4.9% to 5%.

sy88pgw (fresh York) First published February 2, 2018: 2:51 PM ET